EARLY DIVISION ML DOG
106-116-2
+16.5% ROI · +36.58u
Won 47.7% of 222 decided · at −110 is 52.4%
LAST 10
209 historical + 15 tracked since Sep 2026
HISTORICALThe system’s record, not EE’s picks. Billy’s picks are on the Record →
IN PLAIN ENGLISH
WHAT IT LOOKS FOR, IN PLAIN ENGLISH
The exact spot this system looks for, the rules it reads, and why it has held up.
WHY IT'S INTERESTING
WHY IT'S INTERESTING
The analyst's case for this system, and what could break it.
LIFETIME
RECORD
106-116-2
W-L-P
+16.5%
units ÷ decided
+36.58u
1u per game
WIN %
47.7%
at −110: 52.4%
GRADED
224
222 decided + 2 pushes
209 historical (99-108-2 · +34.21u, the source's record as published) + 15 tracked since Sep 2026 (7-8 · +2.37u)
Win % and ROI exclude pushes · the system’s record, not EE’s picks · Billy’s picks are on the Record →
106 of 222 decided · lifetime, combined · pushes excluded
+-4.7 pts over break-even
Since EE started tracking: 7 of 15 · too few to read
LAST 10
10 results · free with an accountTHE LAST 10 RESULTS
Wins and losses, same size. Free with an account.
UPCOMING
EX+UPCOMING GAMES, BEFORE KICKOFF
Armed and arming games, with the reading on every condition.
JOE'S CHALLENGE
Call the next big game this week
Pick a side in Paper Bets: the favorite, or my dog. Units only, no money.
Open Paper Bets →
VINNY'S 60-SECOND LESSON
Why is it −7.5, not −7?
Half a point is the hook. At −7, a seven-point win is a push and everyone gets their money back. At −7.5 somebody loses, and the book keeps its cut either way.
Take the lesson →AT A GLANCE
MARKET
Moneyline (to win outright)
CONDITIONS
5 · exact rules with EX+
STAKE BASIS
Tracked + stored rows: 1u flat at −110. Imported total: as published.
HISTORICAL
209 graded (source record)
TRACKED
15 since Sep 2026
UPDATED
Thu Oct 8 · 11:46 PM ET
THE EXACT RULES
EX+THE EXACT RULES
Every condition this system reads, and how each one can move.
HOW WE COUNT
Tracked games and the stored history rows are graded at 1 unit flat at −110: a win pays +0.91u, a loss costs −1.00u. The imported total (209 graded) is the source’s record as published; its units aren’t re-derivable at −110. Tracked games lock side and line at kickoff and count only if the system was armed at kickoff; anything else is VOID and never counted. Win % and ROI exclude pushes. None of this is EE’s record. Billy’s published picks, each with a pick ID, are on the Record →
07HOW WE COUNT
HOW WE COUNT
Tracked games and the stored history rows are graded at 1 unit flat at −110: a win pays +0.91u, a loss costs −1.00u. The imported total (209 graded) is the source’s record as published; its units aren’t re-derivable at −110. Tracked games lock side and line at kickoff and count only if the system was armed at kickoff; anything else is VOID and never counted. Win % and ROI exclude pushes. None of this is EE’s record. Billy’s published picks, each with a pick ID, are on the Record →